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Defence Policy Foresight | Military Warfare Ecosystem

ABSTRACT

The rules of war and its character has change, military doctrine now thrives in chaos, where military policy and defence strategy has merged as ‘critical thinking ecosystem’, where ‘everything matter’ because ‘today war’, is ‘not declared’ and dynamics of future conflict, ‘unrestricted’ underscores defence policy formulation. ‘The United States military doctrine of ‘The Joint Force 2020 concept’ with integrated capabilities and the use of robotic and artificial intelligence apparatus for decision making is taking on a mass character. Russia military doctrine employs, ‘multi-domain operations’ in the diplomatic, information, cyber, economic, and military domains for regional hegemony. Both military powers seek ‘defence foresight’ to manage their national interests outside of their borders of its territory using ‘high-precision weaponry and proxies’. Its execution requires the optimization of global strategic posture into the ‘instruments of power’ termed ‘warfare ecosystem’ schema – iterated exploration of alternatives paths for results that, ‘optimize risk and uncertainty’, with the principles of minimum regrets, flexibility, versatility and adaptability encapsulate the ‘warfare strategy’ as a wicked problem. The construct of space infrastructure capabilities today remains the final frontier for defence policy formulation that, ruthlessly attack inefficiencies of defence posture of modern military strategic thinking to migrate into ‘warfare ecosystem’ foresight.

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