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BANK LIQUIDITY AND THE DEREGULATED FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE IN NIGERIA

ABSTRACT

Deregulation of the naira exchange rate and the supplementary monetary policy

regime were aimed at reducing the demand for foreign exchange and boosting

non-oil exports. (CBN, 1992: No. 92/08; Abdullahi, 1987:59; FGN, 1988:21-23).

An ‘excess liquidity’ in the banking system was said to be an obstacle to

achieving the aims of the foreign exchange and monetary policies. (CBN, 1990:

32; Ntekop, 1992:21) Stabilization Securities were repeatedly issued on

bank deposits to mop up the ‘excess liquidity’. But this left in its wake

high cost of funds, inflationary pressure, distress in the banking system,

industry capacity under utilization, volatile exchange rate regime, and

persistent demand pressure on the foreign exchange market. (Business Times,

April 12, 1993; CBN Circ. 1/3/93; Nwankwo, 1983:44; Abdullahi, 1987:

63-65; Ahmed, 1993:23; CBN, 1991:66; Olekah, 1991).

Thus this study was initiated to determine the cause – effect relationship

between the liquidity in the banking system and the deregulated foreign

exchange rate through the demand pressure on the foreign exchange market.

A quasi-experimental design was developed and multiple regression and

Pearsons (r) analyses were conducted on the data. The result of the

analysis shows that there is no significant relationship between them. The

demand pressure is inherent in the market itself and reflects the structural

problems of the economy which are monocultrual and vulnerability to

external shocks; of industry that is import-dependent, and import-substitutional.

We suggest a systematic reduction in the demand for foreign exchange

through a reduction for the need for foreign exchange by the determined

sourcing of local inputs since the demand for foreign exchange is a

derived demand for imported inputs. We als o recommend an interi m

dua l exchange rat e system t o b e replace d i n th e long-ru n wit h

a floating , market-determine d exchange rat e system .

TABLE OF CONTENT

Title page- – – – – – – – – i

Approval page – – – – – – – -ii

Dedication – – – – – – – – -iii

Acknowledgement – – – – – – – -iv

Abstract – – – – – – – – – -v

Table of content – – – – – – – -vi

CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION – – – – – – – -1

1.0 Background of the study – – – – -1

1.1 Statement of the problem – – – – -5

1.2 Purpose of the study – – – – – -6

1.3 Significance of the study – – – – -8

1.4 Research questions – – – – – -9

1.5 Scope of the study – – – – – – -10

CHAPTER TWO

LITERATURE REVIEW – – – – – – -11

CHAPTER THREE

Research methodology – – – – – – -39

Design of study – – – – – – – -40

CHAPTER FOUR

Presentation, analysis and interpretation of data – -48

CHAPTER FIVE

Summary of findings – – – – – – -60

Conclusion – – – – – – – – -61

Recommendations – – – – – – – -62

Suggestions for further research – – – – -64

References – – – – – – – – -65

Appendix I – – – – — – – – -68

Questionnaire. – – – – – – – -69

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