COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND NIGERIAN STOCK MARKET CAPITALISATION

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COVID-19 PANDEMIC AND NIGERIAN STOCK MARKET CAPITALISATION

Abstract

This study investigates the connection between COVID-19 confirmed cases and Nigerian stock market capitalisation. Daily recorded secondary data that cover a 3-month period covering 1 March to 31 May 2020 were sourced from the Nigerian Stock Exchange, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and World Health Organisation websites. Vector regression model was employed for statistical analysis. The results show that the confirmed cases of COVID-19 have mixed association with the Nigerian stock market equity capitalisation, while the global announced confirmed cases demonstrate inverse relationship with the market capitalisation but are both statistically insignificant at 0.05 level. The implication is that, plausible severity of global health concern on emerging stock market can be waned if prompt precautionary measures are deployed. The study put forward the need for proactive media programmes by the government and the stock market leadership, capable of deterring sudden short-run effect of such unprecedented global health crises on sustainable growth of the capital market due to abrupt exit and/or restricted activities of the foreign investors and other stock market participants.

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